Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 34

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	TSV Havelse		Oldenburg

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.3	4.3
	1.6	4.68	4.25
	1.6	4.94	3.82
	1.58	4.5	4.1
	1.63	4.3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.41)	4.54 ↓ (5)	4.15 ↓ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSV Havelse
57.4%

Draw
20.3%

Oldenburg
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

18.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

17.7%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSV Havelse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TSV Havelse's form might have worsened.

Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TSV Havelse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldenburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

TSV Havelse - Oldenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Brand R. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Ilic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, Ilic M. ⚽,
70', 3 - 1, Tasky N. ⚽,
79', 4 - 1, Kolgeci B. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Play Offs and 11).

Havelse is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Regionalliga Play Offs

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Havelse won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Havelse is seen as the favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Havelse won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Havelse won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Havelse
German Regionalliga North
10.05.25	Blau-Weiß Lohne - TSV Havelse	1:3 ✺
02.05.25	TSV Havelse - Kickers Emden	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Phönix Lübeck - TSV Havelse	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	TSV Havelse - Teutonia Ottensen	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Eintracht Norderstedt - TSV Havelse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTWL
- VfB Oldenburg
German Regionalliga North
09.05.25	Oldenburg - Lübeck	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Jeddeloh - Oldenburg	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Oldenburg - Bremer SV	3:0 ✺
17.04.25	Oldenburg - Blau-Weiß Lohne	2:4 ✺
12.04.25	Drochtersen Assel - Oldenburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
02.11.24	Oldenburg - TSV Havelse	1:1
30.03.24	Oldenburg - TSV Havelse	1:2
11.08.23	TSV Havelse - Oldenburg	2:0
20.09.20	TSV Havelse - Oldenburg	1:1
28.08.19	TSV Havelse - Oldenburg	3:2
28.04.19	TSV Havelse - Oldenburg	3:0
14.10.18	Oldenburg - TSV Havelse	3:1

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