Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	TSV Steinbach Haiger		Freiberg

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.65	2.28
	2.66	3.75	2.38
	2.54	3.66	2.26
	2.5	4	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.42)	3.77 ↓ (3.8)	2.29 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSV Steinbach Haiger
35.5%

Draw
24.3%

Freiberg
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

24%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

23.8%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSV Steinbach Haiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Freiberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Steinbach Haiger than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Lee G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Polauke P. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Steinbach Haiger won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Freiberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Steinbach Haiger won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Steinbach Haiger won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Freiberg - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.28%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Steinbach Haiger
German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.10.25	Sandhausen - TSV Steinbach Haiger	1:5 ✺
30.09.25	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Bayern Alzenau	4:2 ✺
26.09.25	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - TSV Steinbach Haiger	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Homburg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWTTT
- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
04.10.25	Freiberg - Homburg	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Stuttgarter Kickers - Freiberg	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Freiberg - Hessen Kassel	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Kickers Offenbach - Freiberg	2:5 ✺
13.09.25	Freiberg - Bahlinger	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.11.24	Freiberg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	4:0
03.08.24	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiberg	0:2
04.05.24	Freiberg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	1:1
28.10.23	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiberg	0:1
05.04.23	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiberg	4:0
24.09.22	Freiberg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	0:2

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