Match Info

Meistriliiga Women - Round 18

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Tabasalu Arena (Tabasalu)


	Tabasalu		Tallina Kalev

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.2	4.95
	1.6	4.1	4.18
	1.58	3.68	5.53	Watch
	1.53	4.48	4.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.67)	4.12 ↓ (4.2)	4.89 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabasalu
59.1%

Draw
22.2%

Tallina Kalev
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

21.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

21.1%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabasalu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Tallina Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallina Kalev than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Tabasalu - Tallina Kalev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Korran M. (G) 28. Kimsen M. 2. Ilisson A. 8. Melis H. 72. Tammeveski L. 31. Silina E. 11. Joelaid M. 3. Rank R. 36. Salei A. (C) 26. Poora K. 10. Pajuviidik A.	15. Isand U. (G) 5. Rasmussen B. 12. Soasepp M. 21. Link J. 71. Kalle H. 4. Orav M. (C) 39. Mirjam J. 6. Fjodorova A. 7. Grutop V. 10. Vilipuu A. 18. Ahmedova S.
Substitutes
18. Boberg L. 13. Hertmann E. 4. Parnik G. 19. Parn S. 15. Priidemann S. 77. Sepp S. 6. Tohver T.	32. Lehtmets L. 33. Ots B. 28. Saul S. 14. Smirnova Z. 27. Suup L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
52', 1 - 2, ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, ⚽,
81', 3 - 3, ⚽,
87', 4 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Tabasalu is Qualified for Meistriliiga Women (Championship Group )

Kalev is Qualified for Meistriliiga Women (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tabasalu won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Kalev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tabasalu is a strong favorite.

We predict that Tabasalu will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tabasalu won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tabasalu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tabasalu Women
Estonian Meistriliiga Women
23.08.25	Tabasalu - Viimsi JK	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Elva - Tabasalu	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Tabasalu - Tallina Kalev	4:0 ✺
02.08.25	Viimsi JK - Tabasalu	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Tabasalu - Saku Sporting	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLW
- Tallina Kalev Women
Estonian Meistriliiga Women
31.08.25	Tallina Kalev - Elva	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Tammeka Tartu - Tallina Kalev	2:3 ✺
20.08.25	Tallina Kalev - Ararat TTÜ	8:0 ✺
16.08.25	Tabasalu - Tallina Kalev	4:0 ✺
10.08.25	Elva - Tallina Kalev	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga Women
16.08.25	Tabasalu - Tallina Kalev	4:0
20.04.25	Tallina Kalev - Tabasalu	2:3
05.10.24	Tallina Kalev - Tabasalu	1:0
07.06.24	Tabasalu - Tallina Kalev	2:0
17.04.24	Tallina Kalev - Tabasalu	2:1
Club Friendly Women
09.03.24	Tallina Kalev - Tabasalu	0:1
Estonian Meistriliiga Women
11.11.23	Tabasalu - Tallina Kalev	0:0

Tabasalu - Tallina Kalev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide