Match Info

Date: 2 October 2020, Friday


	Tacuarembó		Villa Española

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.91
	3.5	3.25	1.95
	3.1	3.4	2.03
	3.16	3.52	2.07
	3.25	3.3	2
	3.32	3.38	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.38)	3.39 ↑ (3.1)	2 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuarembó
27.8%

Draw
26.8%

Villa Española
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

29%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

21.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuarembó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Villa Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tacuarembó that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa Española could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tacuarembó - Villa Española Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Apertura)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tacuarembó could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Villa Española is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
28.09.20	Rocha - Tacuarembó	0:2 ✺
21.09.20	Tacuarembó - Albion Montevideo	3:2 ✺
18.09.20	Tacuarembó - Sud América	1:2 ✺
15.09.20	Cerrito - Tacuarembó	3:1 ✺
08.09.20	Tacuarembó - Racing Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLLT
- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.09.20	Villa Española - Cerrito	1:2 ✺
21.09.20	Racing Montevideo - Villa Española	2:3 ✺
18.09.20	Villa Española - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:2 ✺
07.09.20	Villa Española - Rampla Juniors	1:2 ✺
04.09.20	Central Español - Villa Española	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTLW

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