Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 30

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Asunción)


	Tacuary		Rubio Ñu

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.95	2.45
	2.52	3.35	2.42
	2.79	3.49	2.17
	2.67	3.43	2.45	Watch
	2.28	3.51	2.9
	2.72	3.04	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (3.65)	3.3 ↑ (3.28)	2.47 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuary
35.2%

Draw
27.8%

Rubio Ñu
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

27.7%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

27.1%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tacuary's performance.

Rubio Ñu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubio Ñu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tacuary that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubio Ñu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tacuary - Rubio Ñu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Villagra C. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Nunez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 2 - 1, Aguilar A. ⚽,
70', (Pen),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de Primera (Apertura: )).

Rubio Ñu is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa de Primera (Apertura )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacuary won 2.

Tacuary is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rubio Ñu is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rubio Ñu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tacuary has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacuary won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tacuary won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuary
Copa Paraguay
01.10.25	12 de Octubre - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
27.09.25	Pastoreo - Tacuary	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Tacuary - Deportivo Santaní	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
08.09.25	Resistencia - Tacuary	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLLL
- Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
28.09.25	Rubio Ñu - Resistencia	4:1 ✺
23.09.25	Guaireña - Rubio Ñu	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:0 ✺
08.09.25	Independiente Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Rubio Ñu - Sol de América	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
29.06.25	Rubio Ñu - Tacuary	4:0
26.10.21	Tacuary - Rubio Ñu	4:0
10.07.21	Rubio Ñu - Tacuary	1:3
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.12.12	Tacuary - Rubio Ñu	1:2
29.09.12	Rubio Ñu - Tacuary	3:1
19.04.12	Rubio Ñu - Tacuary	N/A

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