Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Tadamon Sour		Al-Ahed

	1	X	2
	9.8	4.65	1.26	Watch
	14.33	5.42	1.19	Watch
	11	4.3	1.29
	10	4.3	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.28 ↓ (14.33)	4.67 ↓ (5.42)	1.26 ↑ (1.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tadamon Sour
8.1%

Draw
19.5%

Al-Ahed
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.4%

16.9%

76.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tadamon Sour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Al-Ahed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Tadamon Sour - Al Ahed Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Al Sabbagh B. ⚽, Dakik H. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Jouni S. ⚽, Farhat H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tadamon won 1.

In this match, Al-Ahed is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tadamon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 6:27. (average 0.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tadamon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tadamon Sour
Lebanese Premier League
17.10.25	Tadamon Sour - Al-Abbassieh	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Bourj - Tadamon Sour	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Tadamon Sour	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Tadamon Sour - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:1 ✺
17.07.25	Nejmeh - Tadamon Sour	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTTL
- Al-Ahed SC
Lebanese Premier League
17.10.25	Al-Ahed - Al-Mabarrah	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Al-Ahed - Jwaya	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Al-Ahed - Racing Beirut	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Al-Abbassieh - Al-Ahed	0:3 ✺
16.07.25	Hekmeh - Al-Ahed	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
08.07.25	Al-Ahed - Tadamon Sour	5:3
24.05.25	Al-Ahed - Tadamon Sour	3:0
24.04.25	Tadamon Sour - Al-Ahed	1:0
13.02.25	Al-Ahed - Tadamon Sour	4:0
09.11.23	Al-Ahed - Tadamon Sour	1:0
28.10.22	Tadamon Sour - Al-Ahed	0:1
18.04.22	Tadamon Sour - Al-Ahed	0:4

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