Match Info

LEBANON: Premier League - Losers stage - Round 13

Date: 9 May 2024, Thursday


	Tadamon Sour		Tripoli

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.8	2.95
	2.4	2.85	3
	2.36	2.97	2.98	Watch
	2.4	2.85	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.4)	2.87 ↓ (2.96)	3 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tadamon Sour
38.1%

Draw
31.6%

Tripoli
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

31.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

31%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tadamon Sour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Tripoli have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tadamon Sour than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tripoli than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Al-Azma I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tadamon won 1.

Tadamon is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tripoli is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tripoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tadamon have a series of home games.

Recently Tripoli have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tadamon won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Tadamon won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tadamon Sour
Lebanese Premier League
03.05.24	Tadamon Sour - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	0:5 ✺
21.04.24	Tadamon Sour - Shabab Al Sahel	0:0 ✺
29.03.24	Tadamon Sour - Tripoli	3:0 ✺
22.03.24	Tadamon Sour - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Tadamon Sour - Al Ahli Nabatiya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWWW
- Tripoli SC
Lebanese Premier League
25.04.24	Hekmeh - Tripoli	1:0 ✺
Lebanese Cup
20.04.24	Al Ahli Nabatiya - Tripoli	0:1 ✺
Lebanese Premier League
13.04.24	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Tripoli	0:0 ✺
29.03.24	Tadamon Sour - Tripoli	3:0 ✺
24.03.24	Tripoli - Al Ahli Nabatiya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
29.03.24	Tadamon Sour - Tripoli	3:0
16.02.24	Tripoli - Tadamon Sour	1:1
03.12.23	Tripoli - Tadamon Sour	2:0
10.03.23	Tadamon Sour - Tripoli	2:2
22.01.23	Tripoli - Tadamon Sour	3:2
21.01.22	Tadamon Sour - Tripoli	1:0
07.10.18	Tadamon Sour - Tripoli	0:0

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