Match Info

LEBANON: Premier League - Losers stage - Round 11

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Hekmeh		Tripoli

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.5
	2.68	2.79	2.63
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.59	2.99	2.59	Watch
	2.49	3.3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 (2.54)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	2.55 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hekmeh
35.4%

Draw
29.4%

Tripoli
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.9%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

29.2%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hekmeh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Tripoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hekmeh than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tripoli than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hekmeh won 0.

Hekmeh is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tripoli is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hekmeh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hekmeh have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hekmeh won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Hekmeh won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hekmeh FC
Lebanese Premier League
13.04.24	Al Ahli Nabatiya - Hekmeh	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Hekmeh	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Tripoli - Hekmeh	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Hekmeh - Al Ahli Nabatiya	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Tadamon Sour - Hekmeh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLTL
- Tripoli SC
Lebanese Cup
20.04.24	Al Ahli Nabatiya - Tripoli	0:1 ✺
Lebanese Premier League
13.04.24	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Tripoli	0:0 ✺
29.03.24	Tadamon Sour - Tripoli	3:0 ✺
24.03.24	Tripoli - Al Ahli Nabatiya	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Tripoli - Hekmeh	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
17.03.24	Tripoli - Hekmeh	1:0
03.02.24	Hekmeh - Tripoli	0:2
10.12.23	Tripoli - Hekmeh	1:0
04.03.23	Tripoli - Hekmeh	2:0
27.01.23	Hekmeh - Tripoli	0:0
01.10.22	Tripoli - Hekmeh	0:2
24.04.22	Hekmeh - Tripoli	1:1

Hekmeh - Tripoli

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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