Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 12

Date: 3 November 2023, Friday


	Taffs Well AFC		Abergavenny Town

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	5.5
	1.42	4.59	5.21
	1.43	4.6	5.21
	1.41	4.6	5.7
	1.43	4.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.58)	4.56 ↑ (4.29)	5.4 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taffs Well AFC
63.4%

Draw
19.8%

Abergavenny Town
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

21%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

20.2%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taffs Well AFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taffs Well AFC's performance.

Abergavenny Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Abergavenny Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taffs Well AFC than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abergavenny Town than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Taffs Well is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Abergavenny Town is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Abergavenny Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Taffs Well is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Taffs Well won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Taffs Well won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taffs Well AFC
Welsh Cymru South
27.10.23	Abergavenny Town - Taffs Well AFC	2:4 ✺
21.10.23	Trefelin - Taffs Well AFC	1:1 ✺
06.10.23	Taffs Well AFC - Llanelli	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Taffs Well AFC	1:1 ✺
22.09.23	Taffs Well AFC - Baglan Dragons	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTTL
- Abergavenny Town
Welsh Cymru South
27.10.23	Abergavenny Town - Taffs Well AFC	2:4 ✺
06.10.23	Abergavenny Town - Trefelin	0:2 ✺
29.09.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Abergavenny Town	3:0 ✺
22.09.23	Abergavenny Town - Llanelli	1:5 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
15.09.23	Newport City - Abergavenny Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
27.10.23	Abergavenny Town - Taffs Well AFC	2:4
17.02.23	Abergavenny Town - Taffs Well AFC	1:0
18.11.22	Taffs Well AFC - Abergavenny Town	2:0

Taffs Well AFC - Abergavenny Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide