Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 11

Date: 27 October 2023, Friday


	Abergavenny Town		Taffs Well AFC

	1	X	2
	3.94	3.93	1.65
	3.94	3.93	1.66
	4.2	4.05	1.62
	4.1	4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.33)	3.98 ↑ (3.73)	1.64 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Abergavenny Town
22.3%

Draw
22.7%

Taffs Well AFC
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

23.8%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

22.9%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abergavenny Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Taffs Well AFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taffs Well AFC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abergavenny Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taffs Well AFC than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

#ad

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Recent matches Abergavenny Town is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Taffs Well is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Taffs Well could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Taffs Well will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Abergavenny Town won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Abergavenny Town won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abergavenny Town
Welsh Cymru South
06.10.23	Abergavenny Town - Trefelin	0:2 ✺
29.09.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Abergavenny Town	3:0 ✺
22.09.23	Abergavenny Town - Llanelli	1:5 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
15.09.23	Newport City - Abergavenny Town	0:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
08.09.23	Abergavenny Town - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLWW
- Taffs Well AFC
Welsh Cymru South
21.10.23	Trefelin - Taffs Well AFC	1:1 ✺
06.10.23	Taffs Well AFC - Llanelli	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Taffs Well AFC	1:1 ✺
22.09.23	Taffs Well AFC - Baglan Dragons	1:4 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
15.09.23	Ammanford - Taffs Well AFC	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
17.02.23	Abergavenny Town - Taffs Well AFC	1:0
18.11.22	Taffs Well AFC - Abergavenny Town	2:0

Abergavenny Town - Taffs Well AFC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide