Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Taffs Well AFC		Baglan Dragons

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.09
	2.9	3.43	2.06
	3.06	3.72	2.13
	2.95	3.6	2.07
	2.9	3.6	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.63)	3.59 ↑ (3.46)	2.09 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taffs Well AFC
31%

Draw
25.4%

Baglan Dragons
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

25.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

23.6%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taffs Well AFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taffs Well AFC than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taffs Well AFC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baglan Dragons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Taffs Well AFC - Baglan Dragons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Evans J. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Johnson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
69', 1 - 2, Fleming J. ⚽,
75', 1 - 3, Davies T. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taffs Well AFC
Welsh Cymru South
12.10.24	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Taffs Well AFC	1:0 ✺
04.10.24	Taffs Well AFC - Trefelin	3:3 ✺
27.09.24	Ammanford - Taffs Well AFC	3:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
21.09.24	Taffs Well AFC - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
07.09.24	Cambrian United - Taffs Well AFC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
12.10.24	Baglan Dragons - Cambrian United	4:1 ✺
04.10.24	Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons	0:3 ✺
28.09.24	Baglan Dragons - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Baglan Dragons - Cwmbran Celtic	4:3 ✺
26.08.24	Trefelin - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
10.02.24	Baglan Dragons - Taffs Well AFC	1:0
22.09.23	Taffs Well AFC - Baglan Dragons	1:4

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