Match Info

League Two - Relegation Group - Round 25

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Taishan (Tchaj-an)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8


	Taian Tiankuang		Ganzhou Ruishi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	3.60	6.25
				Watch
	1.43	4.01	6.99
	1.49	3.66	6.9	Watch
	1.39	3.80	8.05
	1.51	3.86	6.79	Watch
	1.45	3.70	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 (1.46)	3.77 ↓ (3.79)	6.79 ↓ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taian Tiankuang
62.5%

Draw
24.1%

Ganzhou Ruishi
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

24.3%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

17.2%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taian Tiankuang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Ganzhou Ruishi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taian Tiankuang than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taian Tiankuang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ganzhou Ruishi than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Taian Tiankuang - Ganzhou Ruishi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Wang Meng (G) 22. Wang Bohan 31. Tong Zhicheng 28. An Yongjian 3. Zhu Jiayi 26. Chen Yu 30. Gao Jian 8. Yuan Xiuqi (C) 20. Halimurat Kamiran 18. Memet-Ali Memet-Raim 36. Muhtar Ular	14. Han Zhen (G) 18. Guo Fuxin 15. Liu Guanjun 28. Shao Shuai (C) 3. Wang Duolin 19. Jin Jian 21. Lu Yuefeng 58. Yu Keli 11. Yu Haozhen 2. Wang Jiajun 9. Zhao Yi
Substitutes
38. Ba Te 21. Deng H. 33. Gao Yixuan 14. Hai Xiaorui 39. Lai J. 13. Lei Guanzhang 32. Mao Ziyu 34. Pang Zhiquan 1. Wei Zichao (G) 2. Yao Daogang 15. Ye Ruiwen 19. Zhang Bohan	41. Anqi Luo 29. Han Fenglin 26. Li Boyang 33. Li Dongnan 47. Li Z. 30. Ren Zening 42. Zhang Z. 16. Zhou Z. (G)
Coaches
Qu Wenbo	Li Xiaoting

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Wang Jiajun 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Muhtar Ular ⚽, Wang Bohan (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lu Yuefeng ↓, Anqi Luo ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Yuan Xiuqi ⚽,
57', Guo Fuxin 🟨,
62', Wang Jiajun ↓, Ren Zening ↑,
63', Liu Guanjun ↓, Han Fenglin ↑,
65', Muhtar Ular ↓, Pang Zhiquan ↑,
65', Halimurat Kamiran ↓, Yao Daogang ↑,
65', Chen Yu ↓, Hai Xiaorui ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Zhu Jiayi ⚽,
71', Yu Keli ↓, Li Dongnan ↑,
78', Hai Xiaorui ↓, Gao Yixuan ↑,
78', Memet-Ali Memet-Raim ↓, Ye Ruiwen ↑,
85', Zhao Yi ↓, Li Boyang ↑,
87', Gao Yixuan (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In recent outings, Taian Tiankuang has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Ganzhou Ruishi is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The betting markets point to Taian Tiankuang as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Taian Tiankuang has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 1:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Taian Tiankuang against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taian Tiankuang
Chinese Yi League
19.09.26	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Taian Tiankuang	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Taian Tiankuang - Wuhan Three Towns B	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Taian Tiankuang - Shanghai Second	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Dalian Kewei - Taian Tiankuang	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Taian Tiankuang - Dalian Yingbo B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TTTLT
- Ganzhou Ruishi
Chinese Yi League
19.09.26	Ganzhou Ruishi - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Beijing Institute of Technology - Ganzhou Ruishi	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Wuhan Three Towns B - Ganzhou Ruishi	4:0 ✺
16.08.26	Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Shenzhen 2028 - Ganzhou Ruishi	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
25.10.25	Ganzhou Ruishi - Taian Tiankuang	1:2
21.09.25	Taian Tiankuang - Ganzhou Ruishi	0:0
05.10.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Taian Tiankuang	3:1
31.08.24	Taian Tiankuang - Ganzhou Ruishi	1:3

Taian Tiankuang - Ganzhou Ruishi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide