Match Info

Super League - Round 20

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Talanta		Vihiga United

	1	X	2
	1.86	2.88	4.46
	1.91	2.87	4.64	Watch
	1.84	2.91	4.67
	1.84	2.83	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.77)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)	4.51 ↓ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talanta
48.5%

Draw
31.4%

Vihiga United
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.7%

32.6%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

31%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Vihiga United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vihiga United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Talanta - Vihiga United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Vihiga United has had a series of home games.

In this match, Talanta is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Talanta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Talanta FC	36	15	9	12	46:37	9	54
19	Vihiga United	36	9	8	19	28:53	-25	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Talanta
Kenyan Super League
31.01.26	Darajani Gogo - Talanta	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Talanta - Equity Bank	0:0 ✺
09.01.26	Talanta - MCF	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Naivas - Talanta	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Fortune Sacco - Talanta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWLL
- Vihiga United
Kenyan Super League
01.02.26	Vihiga United - Kibera Black Stars	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Vihiga United - Mombasa United	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Vihiga United - Mwatate United	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Equity Bank - Vihiga United	2:1 ✺
17.12.25	Vihiga United - Nairobi City Stars	Nairobi City awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLL?

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
16.11.25	Vihiga United - Talanta	0:2

Talanta - Vihiga United