Match Info

Super League - Round 18

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Talanta		Equity Bank

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.38
	2.17	3.08	3.32	Watch
	2.1	2.7	3.5
	2.11	2.89	3.55
	2.08	2.85	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.48)	2.88 ↑ (2.82)	3.42 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Talanta
42.5%

Draw
31.2%

Equity Bank
26.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

31.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

32.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talanta's performance.

Equity Bank has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Equity Bank might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talanta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Equity Bank than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Talanta - Equity Bank Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).

Talanta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Equity Bank is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Talanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Equity Bank	36	20	11	5	53:26	27	71
8	Talanta FC	36	15	9	12	46:37	9	54

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Talanta
Kenyan Super League
09.01.26	Talanta - MCF	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Naivas - Talanta	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Fortune Sacco - Talanta	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	Talanta - MOFA	0:0 ✺
03.12.25	Talanta - Kabati	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLTW
- Equity Bank FC
Kenyan Super League
17.01.26	Equity Bank - Gucha Stars	3:2 ✺
11.01.26	MOFA - Equity Bank	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Soy United - Equity Bank	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Equity Bank - Vihiga United	2:1 ✺
17.12.25	Equity Bank - Darajani Gogo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLWW

Talanta - Equity Bank