Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 2

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Prado (Talavera de la Reina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Talavera de la Reina		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.88	2.6
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.62	3	2.62
	2.71	3.09	2.69
	2.67	3.01	2.72	Watch
	2.64	3.02	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.63)	3.02 ↑ (3.02)	2.62 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
34.8%

Draw
30.3%

Athletic Bilbao B
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.9%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

30.8%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Talavera de la Reina - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Talavera (1.87) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Talavera (votes: 1 - 50%). Athletic Bilbao B (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez J. (G) 22. Rodriguez F. 5. Molina S. 4. Lopez A. 3. Roig A. 19. Gomez V. 8. Sanchez L. 16. Navarro I. 6. Pitu 7. Di Renzo G. 9. Moreno M.	1. Gamen E. (G) 2. Irurita X. 4. Dunabeitia A. 5. Ebro Cortina E. 28. Monreal I. 8. Lete E. 18. Garcia E. 11. Bujan E. 10. Sanchez I. 22. Perez A. 9. Sanz I.
Substitutes
15. Arroyo N. 10. Ayllon I. 18. Capo P. 2. Cuenca D. 23. Farrando M. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. 30. Ihab 14. Molina A. 27. Moussa R. 17. Ouacharaf B. 13. Rocafort R. (G)	30. Alboniga-Menor G. 27. Galindo I. (G) 6. Gibelalde M. 23. Gift E. 7. Hierro A. 17. Huestamendia P. 14. Izagirre Cestona A. 26. Sola J. 20. Vizcay T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', Navarro I. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Di Renzo G. (Pen),
45+7', 1 - 1, Irurita X. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
58', Perez A. ↓, Huestamendia P. ↑,
61', Rodriguez F. ↓, Capo P. ↑,
61', Navarro I. ↓, Ouacharaf B. ↑,
70', Ebro Cortina E. 🟨,
72', Gomez V. ↓, Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↑,
77', Sanz I. ↓, Vizcay T. ↑,
77', Garcia E. ↓, Alboniga-Menor G. ↑,
86', Di Renzo G. ↓, Arroyo N. ↑,
87', Bujan E. ↓, Gift E. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Talavera have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Athletic Bilbao B is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Talavera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.08.25	Ferrol - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.25	Jaraíz - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Talavera de la Reina - Linares Deportivo	3:0 ✺
13.08.25	Talavera de la Reina - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Talavera de la Reina - Real Ávila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLW
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.08.25	Ourense CF - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	Ponferradina - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Portugalete - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
13.08.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
06.08.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Barakaldo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.03.22	Talavera de la Reina - Athletic Bilbao B	4:0
21.11.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Talavera de la Reina	0:1

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