The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athletic Bilbao B 37.8%
Draw 31.1%
Barakaldo 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
29.5%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
30%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Bilbao B's form might have worsened.
Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Athletic Bilbao B - Barakaldo Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic Bilbao B (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 15. Alday I. 4. Dunabeitia A. 5. Monreal I. 19. Louis-Jean J. 23. Gift E. 18. Garcia E. 10. Sanchez I. 8. Lete E. 22. Perez A. 9. Sanz I.
1. Ispizua I. (G) 7. Pedernales I. 18. Arana M. 4. Dufur U. 16. Lopez O. 14. Munoz I. 5. Molina E. 21. San Bartolome V. 8. Huidobro J. 17. de Leon J. 19. Galarza A.
Substitutes
12. Barandalla M. 11. Bujan E. 1. Gamen E. (G) 6. Gibelalde M. 17. Huestamendia P. 2. Irurita X. 14. Izagirre Cestona A. 37. Oyono I.
23. Albizua U. 13. Campos G. (G) 3. Garcia B. 26. Huete H. 20. Mandiang S. 6. Naveira U. 10. Sabin 22. Torra M. 9. Valino A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Ispizua I. 🟥,
13', Munoz I. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
21', Pedernales I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', de Leon J. ↓, Albizua U. ↑,
54', 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Dunabeitia A. ⚽,
71', 🟨,
74', Pedernales I. 🟨,
75', 🟨,
83', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
83', San Bartolome V. ↓, Mandiang S. ↑,
86', Lopez O. ↓, Sabin ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Bujan E. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 9)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 0.
In recent matches, Athletic Bilbao B has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Barakaldo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Barakaldo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletic Bilbao B won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).
Spain
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Santos M. (G) 
Louis-Jean J. 
de Leon J. 
