Match Info

ESTONIA: ESILIIGA - ROUND 22

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Kadrioru Staadion (Tallinn)


	Tallinna JK Legion		Flora U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	5	1.39
	4.25	5	1.45
	4.39	5.49	1.51
	4.9	4.75	1.49
	5.5	5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↑ (4.01)	5.05 ↑ (4.46)	1.45 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna JK Legion
18.8%

Draw
18.1%

Flora U21
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

20.4%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

20.3%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna JK Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Flora U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flora U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora U21 than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flora U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tallinna JK Legion - Flora U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Zukov M. (G) 15. Pankov D. 4. Gasinski D. 30. Volodin A. (C) 11. Belenikin K. 39. Istsenko V. 13. Terletski A. 59. Borissov A. 2. Eensalu M. 25. Arhipov L. 51. Ruus D.	98. Kivila K. (G) 76. Kukk M. 23. Kolobov M. 66. Veering R. (C) 42. Palts J. 83. Volossatov A. 80. Roland L. 94. Luup M. 74. Kuraksin D. 57. Varjund T. 67. Vain B.
Substitutes
14. Balta A. 1. Bolgov S. (G) 17. Panov V. 66. Pochekutov V. 33. Samborskyi D.	97. Eenmaa M. 88. Hurt E. 44. Kaljumae R. 96. Otti O. 22. Pihela O. 71. Roivassepp G. 55. Soosalu R. 56. Vahemets V. 50. Valdaru O. O.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Legion won 1.

Legion has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Flora U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Flora U21 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Flora U21 is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Legion won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Legion won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Esiliiga
22.07.23	Paide U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	3:2 ✺
13.07.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Flora U21	0:6 ✺
08.07.23	FC Tallinn - Tallinna JK Legion	3:2 ✺
02.07.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Levadia Tallinn U21	0:0 ✺
29.06.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Viimsi JK	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTL
- Flora U21
Estonian Esiliiga
31.07.23	Flora U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	0:2 ✺
Estonian Cup
27.07.23	Flora U21 - Keila	2:0 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
22.07.23	Flora U21 - Nõmme United	0:3 ✺
13.07.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Flora U21	0:6 ✺
08.07.23	Alliance - Flora U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
13.07.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Flora U21	0:6
19.03.23	Flora U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	5:2
19.09.19	Tallinna JK Legion - Flora U21	1:2
03.08.19	Flora U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	5:3
28.06.19	Flora U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:2
27.04.19	Tallinna JK Legion - Flora U21	3:0

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