Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 36

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Kalevi Keskstaadion (Tallinn)


	Tallinna Kalev U21		Levadia Tallinn U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.65	4.85	1.45
	4.77	5.18	1.42
	5.11	4.65	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (3.86)	4.89 ↑ (4.53)	1.44 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev U21
18.7%

Draw
18.5%

Levadia Tallinn U21
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

20%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

19.4%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Levadia Tallinn U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levadia Tallinn U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn U21 than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Tallinna Kalev U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Laurik T. (G) 2. Kahro K. 3. Oja R. 26. Kukk C. 15. Mellis V. 6. Seimoja T. 20. Kubensky S. 16. Kirt A. (C) 11. Valjas S. 9. Ilves R. 10. Lasn O.	12. Ruus K. (G) 66. Kondratski N. 68. Sibul A. 58. Aan R. (C) 30. Liiv H. 70. Tsernjakov A. 51. Sakarias A. 60. Muravlyov N. 26. Kenchoshvili S. 76. Jumankin M. 62. Kablik H.
Substitutes
19. Esna J. 14. Hartwich M. 1. Kaljurand J. (G) 27. Korasteljov K. 7. Magi K. I. 23. Tammepold H.	71. Dunits A. 67. Fesenko A. 97. Hamburg J. 61. Matrossov D. 63. Mirosnitsenko B. 57. Rodionov F. 49. Sibul T. (G) 98. Zahovaiko T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Kukk C. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Kablik H. ⚽,
36', Kenchoshvili S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Kubensky S. ⚽,
79', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Kalev U21 is Relegated to Esiliiga B

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev U21 won 2.

Kalev U21 is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Levadia U21 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Levadia U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Levadia U21 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Levadia U21 is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kalev U21 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:41. (average 1.4:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalev U21 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 1.3:2.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga
01.11.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:1 ✺
26.10.25	Nõmme United - Tallinna Kalev U21	8:0 ✺
23.10.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Flora U21	1:4 ✺
19.10.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tartu Welco	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	FC Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonian Esiliiga
03.11.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Nõmme United	3:2 ✺
27.10.25	Viimsi JK - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Elva	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tammeka U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
18.07.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:3
17.05.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:2
29.03.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:1
10.11.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	3:1
18.08.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	0:3
30.05.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:3
06.05.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:0

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