The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tamaraceite 50.4%
Draw 27%
Marino 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.4%
26.3%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
25.2%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Tamaraceite have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Tamaraceite - Marino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Pirri ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Diaz E. ⚽,
45+3', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 2, ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tamaraceite won 4.
Tamaraceite has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Marino has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Tamaraceite is seen as the favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tamaraceite won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:10. (average 1.4:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Tamaraceite won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).