Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 16

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Tamaraceite		Real Unión

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.95	6.1
	1.48	3.96	6.23	Watch
	1.4	4	7
	1.39	3.85	8.15
	1.35	4.25	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.82)	4 ↑ (3.5)	7.1 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamaraceite
64.5%

Draw
22.7%

Real Unión
12.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.2%

26.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

24.9%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamaraceite has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tamaraceite's performance.

Real Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Unión might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamaraceite that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Unión could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Tamaraceite - Real Unión Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tamaraceite will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tamaraceite (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Tamaraceite is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Real Union Tenerife	8	5	1	2	12:7	5	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tamaraceite
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
21.12.25	Lanzarote - Tamaraceite	5:0 ✺
05.12.25	Tamaraceite - Las Palmas C	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Panadería Pulido - Tamaraceite	1:2 ✺
14.11.25	Tamaraceite - Telde	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Marino - Tamaraceite	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWL
- Real Unión de Tenerife
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
20.12.25	Real Unión - Herbania	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Real Unión - Panadería Pulido	1:4 ✺
23.11.25	Telde - Real Unión	1:1 ✺
14.11.25	Real Unión - Marino	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Mensajero - Real Unión	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTTL

Tamaraceite - Real Unión