Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 11

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	Tamaraceite		Telde

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.5	11
	1.17	6.09	11.74
	1.32	5.12	7.95	Watch
	1.22	5.4	10.3
	1.2	5.4	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.3)	5.5 ↑ (5.3)	10.6 ↑ (7.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamaraceite
74.8%

Draw
16.6%

Telde
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

17.3%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.1%

16%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamaraceite has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Telde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telde than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Tamaraceite - Telde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Farias J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Tamaraceite has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Telde's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tamaraceite may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tamaraceite is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tamaraceite
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
09.11.25	Marino - Tamaraceite	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Tamaraceite - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Tenerife C - Tamaraceite	4:2 ✺
18.10.25	Tamaraceite - San Bartolomé	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	UD San Fernando - Tamaraceite	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTLWW
- UD Telde
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
11.11.25	Telde - Herbania	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Las Palmas C - Telde	5:1 ✺
26.10.25	Telde - Panadería Pulido	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	Lanzarote - Telde	5:0 ✺
27.09.25	Tenerife C - Telde	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLL

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