Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 36

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Tartu Sepa kunstmuruväljak (Tartu)


	Tammeka U21		FC Tallinn

	1	X	2
	4.75	5.3	1.41
	5.22	6.3	1.31
	4.58	5.45	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↓ (5.77)	5.68 ↑ (5.56)	1.38 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tammeka U21
18.7%

Draw
15.9%

FC Tallinn
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

16.2%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

12.6%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tammeka U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

FC Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tammeka U21 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Tallinn than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Tallinn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tammeka U21 - FC Tallinn Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 - Tammeka U21 (1.31) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tammeka U21 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sahtel K. (G) 8. Seeba H. 13. Jurgenthal G. 14. Kupits K. 2. Leppik K. 9. Alekand K. 23. Viinapuu A. 24. Rand K. 25. Puu J. 19. Sirk A. 10. Kiidron K.	25. Usachev M. (G) 22. Salamatov N. 30. Tsurilkin V. 72. Dzemesjuk M. 14. Zhuravlev D. 10. Dmitrijev A. 7. Tsistjakov A. 44. Nesterov K. 15. Slobodjan A. 18. Plotnikov V. 70. Salnikov M.
Substitutes
22. Arujoe J. 7. Dobosev-Proosvali A. 21. Kadak K. 5. Kiidjarv L. 4. Kupits K.	16. Bolgov S. (G) 36. Falsunov N. 89. Kalimullin A. 4. Mohhov I. 21. Tinyakov M. 77. Vynnychuk A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Salnikov M. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Sirk A. ⚽,
54', 2 - 1, Kiidron K. ⚽,
61', 🟨,
63', 2 - 2, Tsurilkin V. (Pen),
77', 3 - 2, Kiidron K. ⚽,
83', 🟨,
83', 4 - 2, Dobosev-Proosvali A. ⚽,
87', 5 - 2, Rand K. ⚽,

Preview

Tammeka U21 is Relegated to Esiliiga B

FC Tallinn is Esiliiga (Relegation)

Tammeka U21 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

FC Tallinn is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tammeka U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, FC Tallinn is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tammeka U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Tammeka U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tammeka Tartu U21
Estonian Esiliiga
03.11.25	Tammeka U21 - Tartu Welco	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tammeka U21	4:1 ✺
23.10.25	Tammeka U21 - Viimsi JK	0:4 ✺
19.10.25	Nõmme United - Tammeka U21	6:0 ✺
04.10.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tammeka U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLLLL
- FC Tallinn
Estonian Esiliiga
02.11.25	FC Tallinn - Viimsi JK	1:2 ✺
Estonian Cup
30.10.25	Narva Trans - FC Tallinn	6:0 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
27.10.25	Flora U21 - FC Tallinn	2:4 ✺
23.10.25	FC Tallinn - Nõmme United	1:4 ✺
19.10.25	Elva - FC Tallinn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
19.07.25	FC Tallinn - Tammeka U21	2:0
29.05.25	Tammeka U21 - FC Tallinn	2:3
10.04.25	FC Tallinn - Tammeka U21	3:1

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