Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 33

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium (Tallinn) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Estonia	19:00	Jalgpall.ee


	FC Tallinn		Viimsi JK

	1	X	2
	4.20	4.33	1.55
	4.3	4.25	1.52
	4.5	4.4	1.43
	4.27	4.51	1.57	Watch
	4.05	4.05	1.51
	4.44	4.33	1.53
	4.2	4.2	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↓ (5.11)	4.3 ↓ (4.38)	1.52 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Tallinn
20.8%

Draw
20.7%

Viimsi JK
58.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.6%

20.5%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

19.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Viimsi JK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Tallinn than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viimsi JK than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viimsi JK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

FC Tallinn - Viimsi JK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 0 - 1, Ekharts D. (Penalty Awarded),
70', 0 - 2, Ekharts D. ⚽,
85', 0 - 3, Ekharts D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Tallinn won 1.

Recent results have been tough for FC Tallinn (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Viimsi JK have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Viimsi JK carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, FC Tallinn has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:38 (averaging 0.9:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for FC Tallinn against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with 6:19 goals (averaging 0.6:1.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Viimsi JK	34	18	6	10	62:33	29	60
8	FC Tallinn	34	10	8	16	43:75	-32	38

Last Results with these Odds

Viimsi JK - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 61.91%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tallinn
Estonian Esiliiga
15.10.26	FC Tallinn - Tartu Welco	0:7 ✺
10.10.26	Flora U21 - FC Tallinn	1:2 ✺
Estonian Cup
03.10.26	FC Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	0:10 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
19.09.26	Elva - FC Tallinn	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	FC Tallinn - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWLTL
- Viimsi JK
Estonian Esiliiga
15.10.26	Viimsi JK - Maardu Linnameeskond	Viimsi JK Awarded ✺
10.10.26	Tallinna Kalev - Viimsi JK	1:2 ✺
Estonian Cup
02.10.26	Tammeka - Viimsi JK	4:1 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
17.09.26	Viimsi JK - Tartu Welco	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Nõmme United U21 - Viimsi JK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 ?WLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
03.09.26	Viimsi JK - FC Tallinn	1:2
24.05.26	FC Tallinn - Viimsi JK	0:2
16.04.26	Viimsi JK - FC Tallinn	5:1
02.11.25	FC Tallinn - Viimsi JK	1:2
14.07.25	Viimsi JK - FC Tallinn	2:1
17.05.25	FC Tallinn - Viimsi JK	0:2
04.04.25	Viimsi JK - FC Tallinn	3:1

FC Tallinn - Viimsi JK