Match Info
Esiliiga - Round 10Date: 7 May 2026, ThursdayLocation: Nike Arena (Elva)
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Elva |
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FC Tallinn |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.52 |
4.15 |
4.55 |
Watch |
 |
1.67 |
4.05 |
3.59 |
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1.48 |
4.75 |
4.83 |
Watch |
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1.65 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
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1.57 |
4.2 |
4.62 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.48) |
4.21 ↓
(4.48) |
4.28 ↓
(4.94) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Elva
57.3% | Draw
21.5% | FC Tallinn
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)FC Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elva than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Tallinn than the current prediction. (-3.3%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Elva will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 0, Neltsas R. ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 0, Neltsas R. ⚽,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8 in the zone Esiliiga (Relegation))In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elva won 2.Elva has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).FC Tallinn is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Elva is the team to beat.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Elva won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.5:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Elva won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Elva | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 14 |
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| 8 | FC Tallinn | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:28 | -12 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Estonian Esiliiga | | | 07.03.26 | FC Tallinn - Elva | 1:1 | | 19.10.25 | Elva - FC Tallinn | 1:0 | | 16.08.25 | FC Tallinn - Elva | 1:2 | | 22.05.25 | Elva - FC Tallinn | 1:1 | | 24.04.25 | FC Tallinn - Elva | 1:1 | | 06.10.24 | Elva - FC Tallinn | 0:1 | | 10.08.24 | FC Tallinn - Elva | 3:4 |
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