Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 19

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Tamworth		Dagenham & Redbridge

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.5
	2.45	3.3	2.4
	2.6	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.71	3.45	2.61
	2.66	3.34	2.57	Watch
	2.88	3.4	2.2
	2.6	3.38	2.44
	2.6	3.4	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (3.01)	3.38 ↓ (3.49)	2.48 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
35.3%

Draw
27.4%

Dagenham & Redbridge
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

26.3%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

25.2%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Dagenham & Redbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dagenham & Redbridge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamworth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dagenham & Redbridge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tamworth - Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh J. (G) 9. Creaney D. 33. Crompton B. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. (C) 11. Fairlamb L. 6. Fletcher A. 26. Hollis H. 31. Maher R. 15. Morrison G. 20. Tshikuna N. 14. Williams K.	1. Justham E. (C) 15. Crichlow-Noble R. 5. Eastman T. 10. Hill R. 24. Morias J. 11. N'Guessan C. 7. Pereira D. 6. Phipps H. 8. Rees J. 21. Rutherford O. 9. Umerah J.
Substitutes
5. Digie K. 19. McGlinchey T. 8. Milnes B. 21. Phillips L. (G) 32. Powell C. 4. Tonks T. 25. Wallace K. 12. Wreh C.	20. Akinola T. 30. Kalambayi P. 17. Rendall T. 18. Stephenson D. 25. Vigrass R. 3. Vincent F. 2. Woodhouse L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Morias J. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Phipps H. ⚽, Rutherford O. (A),
40', Justham E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Creaney D. ⚽,
62', Crichlow-Noble R. 🟨,
65', 🟨,
65', Morias J. ↓, Akinola T. ↑,
70', 🟨,
71', Rutherford O. ↓, Rendall T. ↑,
71', Rees J. ↓, Stephenson D. ↑,
72', Morrison G. ↓, Milnes B. ↑,
75', N'Guessan C. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Creaney D. ⚽,
80', 🟨,
80', Tshikuna N. ↓, Tonks T. ↑,
80', N'Guessan C. ↓, Vigrass R. ↑,
81', Crichlow-Noble R. 🟨,
90', Phipps H. ↓, Vincent F. ↑,
90+3', Williams K. ↓, McGlinchey T. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 13).

Tamworth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dagenham is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tamworth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tamworth have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League Cup
19.11.24	Tamworth - Sunderland U21	1:5 ✺
English National League
16.11.24	Oldham Athletic - Tamworth	4:0 ✺
09.11.24	Tamworth - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
English National League Cup
05.11.24	Tamworth - Newcastle United U21	1:2 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.24	Tamworth - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLTLW
- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League
16.11.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Barnet	3:4 ✺
09.11.24	Boston United - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
English National League Cup
05.11.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - West Bromwich Albion U21	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Crewe Alexandra - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1 ✺
English National League
26.10.24	Oldham Athletic - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTWWL

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