Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 17

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Tamworth		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	4.33
	1.71	3.6	3.9
	1.75	3.75	4.33
	1.75	3.9	4.43
	1.77	3.82	4.22	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.6
	1.72	3.78	4.26
	1.75	3.75	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.86)	3.75 ↑ (3.66)	4.18 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
53%

Draw
24.8%

Ebbsfleet United
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

24.6%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Tamworth - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh J. (G) 9. Creaney D. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 5. Digie K. 11. Fairlamb L. 26. Hollis H. 19. McGlinchey T. 8. Milnes B. 32. Powell C. 4. Tonks T. 20. Tshikuna N.	1. Cousins M. (G) 22. Chapman B. 5. Cordner T. 28. Cosgrave A. 16. Domi F. 17. Edser T. 29. Kane T. 8. Kellerman J. 33. Stewart A. 39. Thomas K. 4. Wright J.
Substitutes
3. Cockerill-Mollett C. 6. Fletcher A. 27. Okafor M. 21. Phillips L. (G) 14. Williams K. 12. Wreh C.	30. Berry D. (G) 9. Bingham R. 10. Fonguck W. 14. Poleon D. 23. Souare P. 27. Tanner C. 25. Wakely J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Kellerman J. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Edser T. ⚽,
30', Domi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Cordner T. 🟨,
63', Edser T. ↓, Tanner C. ↑,
66', Tonks T. ↓, Fletcher A. ↑,
66', Milnes B. ↓, Wallace K. ↑,
67', Thomas K. 🟨,
69', Powell C. ↓, Williams K. ↑,
76', Kellerman J. ↓, Wakely J. ↑,
78', McGlinchey T. ↓, Wreh C. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Williams K. ⚽,
81', Domi F. 🟨,
82', Cullinane-Liburd J. 🟨,
90', Cousins M. 🟨,
90', Kane T. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 16 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Tamworth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ebbsfleet is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tamworth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tamworth have a series of home games.

In this match Tamworth is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Tamworth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League Cup
05.11.24	Tamworth - Newcastle United U21	1:2 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.24	Tamworth - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
English National League
26.10.24	Southend United - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
22.10.24	Tamworth - Yeovil Town	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Tamworth - Woking	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWLTW
- Ebbsfleet United
English National League Cup
29.10.24	Ebbsfleet United - Tottenham Hotspur U21	1:1 ✺
English National League
26.10.24	Ebbsfleet United - Wealdstone	2:2 ✺
22.10.24	Forest Green Rovers - Ebbsfleet United	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	York City - Ebbsfleet United	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Maidstone United - Ebbsfleet United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
16.04.13	Ebbsfleet United - Tamworth	1:1
27.10.12	Tamworth - Ebbsfleet United	0:1
24.01.12	Ebbsfleet United - Tamworth	N/A

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