Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Alexandra Stadium (Crewe)


	Crewe Alexandra		Dagenham & Redbridge

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.6	3.8
	1.98	3.6	3.6
	1.95	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.99	3.68	3.63
	1.93	3.64	3.66	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.8
	1.98	3.62	3.69	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.66)	3.62 ↓ (3.98)	3.67 ↓ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
48.3%

Draw
26%

Dagenham & Redbridge
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23.6%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

21.8%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.

Dagenham & Redbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dagenham & Redbridge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dagenham & Redbridge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Crewe Alexandra - Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Dagenham will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Marschall F. (G) 28. Billington L. 3. Knight-Lebel J. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 18. Connolly J. 25. Conway M. 19. Lunt O. 6. Sanders M. H. 11. Tabiner J. 10. Tracey S. 29. Thibaut A.	1. Justham E. (C) 21. Rutherford O. 5. Eastman T. 15. Crichlow-Noble R. 2. Woodhouse L. 6. Phipps H. 11. N'Guessan C. 7. Pereira D. 24. Morias J. 10. Hill R. 9. Umerah J.
Substitutes
20. Agius C. 9. Bogle O. 1. Booth T. (G) 26. Breckin K. 2. Cooney R. 17. Holicek M. 7. Long Ch. 23. Powell J. 4. Williams Z.	30. Kalambayi P. 16. Remy S. 17. Rendall T. 18. Stephenson D. 25. Vigrass R. 3. Vincent F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Demetriou M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Conway M. ↓, Williams Z. ↑,
61', Sanders M. H. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
61', Tracey S. ↓, Holicek M. ↑,
63', Tabiner J. ↓, Breckin K. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Pereira D. (Pen),
80', Pereira D. 🟨,

Preview

Crewe is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Dagenham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crewe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Crewe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
26.10.24	Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers	3:1 ✺
22.10.24	Fleetwood Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Crewe Alexandra - Salford City	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Doncaster Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Crewe Alexandra - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWTTW
- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League
26.10.24	Oldham Athletic - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Eastleigh	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Fylde	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Leiston - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:5 ✺
English National League
05.10.24	Yeovil Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
21.01.12	Crewe Alexandra - Dagenham & Redbridge	N/A

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