Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 6

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday


	Tamworth		Hereford

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.2
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.06	3.43	3.57
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.03	3.42	3.44
	2.08	3.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.38)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)	3.2 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
43.7%

Draw
27.6%

Hereford
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

26.9%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

26.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tamworth's performance.

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hereford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamworth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hereford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tamworth - Hereford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Tamworth won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League North
26.08.23	Farsley - Tamworth	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	Tamworth - Alfreton Town	0:1 ✺
15.08.23	Boston United - Tamworth	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	Spennymoor Town - Tamworth	1:4 ✺
05.08.23	Tamworth - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TLWWL
- Hereford FC
English National League North
26.08.23	Hereford - Peterborough Sports	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Blyth Spartans - Hereford	2:1 ✺
15.08.23	Hereford - Rushall Olympic	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Hereford - Darlington	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	King`s Lynn Town - Hereford	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
08.10.19	Hereford - Tamworth	0:0
05.10.19	Tamworth - Hereford	0:0
English National League
18.04.14	Tamworth - Hereford	1:0
24.08.13	Hereford - Tamworth	1:0
01.04.13	Hereford - Tamworth	5:2
14.08.12	Tamworth - Hereford	N/A

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