Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 5

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday


	Farsley		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.15
	3.05	3.4	2.04
	3.11	3.36	2.28
	2.25	3.3	2.8
	3.1	3.26	2.24
	2.95	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.02)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	2.28 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farsley
31.8%

Draw
27.7%

Tamworth
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

26.9%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

26.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farsley's form might have worsened.

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tamworth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tamworth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Farsley - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Farsley is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Tamworth is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Farsley won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Farsley won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farsley AFC
English National League North
19.08.23	Bishops Stortford - Farsley	0:1 ✺
15.08.23	Farsley - South Shields	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Farsley - Chorley	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Rushall Olympic - Farsley	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Guiseley - Farsley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTTWT
- Tamworth
English National League North
19.08.23	Tamworth - Alfreton Town	0:1 ✺
15.08.23	Boston United - Tamworth	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	Spennymoor Town - Tamworth	1:4 ✺
05.08.23	Tamworth - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.23	Coalville Town - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
29.11.16	Tamworth - Farsley	0:4
26.11.16	Farsley - Tamworth	2:2

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