Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 4

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday


	Tamworth		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	4.5
	1.68	3.6	4.1
	1.78	3.35	3.8
	1.71	3.59	5.14
	1.68	3.72	4.75
	1.71	3.65	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2)	3.61 ↑ (3.57)	4.4 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
53.8%

Draw
25.4%

Alfreton Town
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

26%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

25.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tamworth's performance.

Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alfreton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamworth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alfreton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tamworth - Alfreton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Alfreton have a series of home games.

In this match Tamworth is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Tamworth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League North
15.08.23	Boston United - Tamworth	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	Spennymoor Town - Tamworth	1:4 ✺
05.08.23	Tamworth - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.23	Coalville Town - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
11.07.23	Tamworth - Stourbridge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWLLW
- Alfreton Town
English National League North
15.08.23	Alfreton Town - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Alfreton Town - Southport	3:1 ✺
05.08.23	South Shields - Alfreton Town	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.23	Alfreton Town - Notts County	0:5 ✺
22.07.23	Alfreton Town - Solihull Moors	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
10.02.18	Alfreton Town - Tamworth	2:1
21.10.17	Tamworth - Alfreton Town	2:3
17.04.17	Tamworth - Alfreton Town	4:1
29.08.16	Alfreton Town - Tamworth	2:5
02.01.16	Alfreton Town - Tamworth	1:0
26.12.15	Tamworth - Alfreton Town	1:2
English FA Cup
26.09.15	Tamworth - Alfreton Town	2:3

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