Match Info

National League - Round 3

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Tamworth		Truro City

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.8	3.5
	1.75	3.4	3.8
	1.85	3.6	3.75
	1.9	3.56	4.02
	1.03	14.59	25.00	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4
	1.85	3.52	3.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.81)	5.14 ↑ (3.93)	6.85 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
63.1%

Draw
21.1%

Truro City
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

23.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

23.8%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tamworth's performance.

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Truro City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamworth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Truro City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tamworth - Truro City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tamworth will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tamworth will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh J. (G) 6. Bates A. 2. Curley M. 5. Digie K. 9. Duku I. 10. Enoru B. 11. Fairlamb L. 26. Hollis H. 38. Ponticelli J. 20. Roberts T. 4. Tonks T.	1. Lavercombe D. (G) 2. Bell Z. 4. Dean W. 14. Hasani L. 15. Jephcott L. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 3. Riley-Lowe C. 8. Rooney D. 6. Sanders S. 23. Starkie B. 18. Taylor J.
Substitutes
15. Donkor K. 27. Lynch O. 19. McGlinchey T. 14. Mols S. 21. Phillips L. (G) 16. Riley J. . Sayer H.	7. En-Neyah Y. 11. Johnson-Fisher D. 20. Law R. 16. Love-Holmes T. 19. Pyke R. 17. Sanogo S. 24. Stone A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', Singh J. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Duku I. ⚽, Roberts T. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Enoru B. ⚽, Duku I. (A),
29', Bell Z. ↓, Johnson-Fisher D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jephcott L. ↓, Pyke R. ↑,
48', Johnson-Fisher D. 🟨,
64', Rooney D. 🟨,
66', Tonks T. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
66', Enoru B. ↓, McGlinchey T. ↑,
70', Taylor J. ↓, En-Neyah Y. ↑,
78', Ponticelli J. ↓, Lynch O. ↑,
78', Duku I. ↓, Mols S. ↑,
82', Riley-Lowe C. ↓, Law R. ↑,
83', Riley J. 🟨,
87', Curley M. ↓, Donkor K. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Truro has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tamworth is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League
16.08.25	Southend United - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Tamworth - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Leamington - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Tamworth - Aston Villa U21	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Tamworth - Barrow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL
- Truro City
English National League
16.08.25	Truro City - York City	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
13.08.25	Truro City - Southampton U21	3:2 ✺
English National League
09.08.25	Wealdstone - Truro City	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Truro City - Falmouth Town	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Truro City - Plymouth Argyle	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL

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