Match Info

National League - Round 13

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
New Zealand	03:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	11:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Turkey	17:00	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
International	14:00	DAZN National League


	Tamworth		Barrow

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.50	2.40
	2.60	3.40	2.25
	2.60	3.60	2.35
	2.68	3.66	2.55
	2.7	3.55	2.4	Watch
	2.55	3.60	2.50
	2.61	3.58	2.46
	2.60	3.50	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.71)	3.55 ↓ (3.66)	2.42 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
35.5%

Draw
26.1%

Barrow
38.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

25.4%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

24.5%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Tamworth - Barrow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Lovett R. (G) 3. Handley T. 16. Calder R. 12. Rye J. 29. Carson H. 14. Dyson O. 4. Kurtaran T. 19. McGlinchey T. 5. Parkes T. 30. Roberts M. 10. Donnelly K.	1. Winterbottom B. (G) 2. Oakley M. 6. Digie K. 25. Kalambayi P. 36. Latty-Fairweather T. 14. Thompson S. 5. Edwards C. 33. Benjamin X. 19. Allen A. 9. Reid A. 26. Harper R. (C)
Substitutes
7. Acquaye B. 24. Agina S. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 23. Hutchinson J. 28. Kelly G. 2. Lyttle T. 1. Macaulay J. (G)	3. Alimi-Adetoro A. 18. Cameron I. 32. Lane M. 27. Marriott I. 23. Mooney D. 11. Walker G. 10. Ward K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 🟨,
50', Lovett R. 🟨,
51', 0 - 1, Harper R. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Carson H. 🟨,
62', 0 - 2, Edwards C. ⚽,
67', Calder R. ↓, Acquaye B. ↑,
67', McGlinchey T. ↓, Hutchinson J. ↑,
67', Edwards C. ↓, Marriott I. ↑,
80', Harper R. ↓, Mooney D. ↑,
80', Allen A. ↓, Alimi-Adetoro A. ↑,
82', Kalambayi P. 🟨,
84', Reid A. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
88', Handley T. ↓, Agina S. ↑,
88', Dyson O. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Kurtaran T. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Agina S. 🟨,
90+9', Acquaye B. ↓, Cullinane-Liburd J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 18th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tamworth won 0.

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Tamworth may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Tamworth has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:14 (averaging 0.4:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tamworth against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 2:6 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Barrow	14	7	3	4	25:18	7	24
17	Tamworth	14	5	2	7	25:31	-6	17

Last Results with these Odds

Tamworth - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.26%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Barrow - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.37%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League Cup
06.10.26	Tamworth - Leeds United U21	1:0 ✺
English National League
03.10.26	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
30.09.26	Tamworth - Sutton United	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Aldershot Town - Tamworth	5:1 ✺
19.09.26	Tamworth - Wealdstone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW
- Barrow
English National League
03.10.26	Barrow - Wealdstone	2:1 ✺
English National League North
29.09.26	Barrow - Scunthorpe United	3:0 ✺
English National League
26.09.26	Southend United - Barrow	2:4 ✺
19.09.26	Barrow - Aldershot Town	1:0 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Solihull Moors - Barrow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.25	Tamworth - Barrow	0:2
English National League North
18.04.15	Barrow - Tamworth	4:1
07.02.15	Tamworth - Barrow	1:1
English National League
02.03.13	Barrow - Tamworth	2:0
English FA Cup
20.10.12	Barrow - Tamworth	2:0
English National League
08.09.12	Tamworth - Barrow	1:3
21.01.12	Tamworth - Barrow	N/A

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