Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Amaan Stadium (Zanzibar City) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1
Australia	23:00	beIN Connect
Canada	09:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
New Zealand	01:00	beIN Connect
Usa	09:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol


	Tanzania		Guinea Bissau

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.90	3.20
	2.15	2.92	3.45
	2.23	2.95	3.77
	2.23	2.92	3.58	Watch
	2.14	2.7	3.65
	2.14	3.02	3.55	Watch
	2.15	2.85	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.71)	2.89 ↓ (3.55)	3.49 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tanzania
42.2%

Draw
31.6%

Guinea Bissau
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.2%

25.6%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tanzania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tanzania's form might have worsened.

Guinea Bissau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Tanzania - Guinea Bissau Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tanzania will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Guinea Bissau will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tanzania: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Foba Z. (G) Azam 25. Mnoga H. Patro Eisden 14. Mwamnyeto B. Young Africans 4. Hamad I. Young Africans 15. Hussein M. Young Africans 8. M'Mombwa C. Zabbar 7. Mkami H. (C) Azam 6. Salum F. Azam 11. Kibu D. 19. Mwalimu S. Young Africans 12. Msuva S. Newroz	23. Embadje F. (G) Lugo 15. Encada J. Estrela da Amadora 22. Sangante O. Dunkerque 2. Rofino V. G. Famalicao 5. lano Imbene Penafiel 7. Dalcio APOEL 11. Vieira R. San Jose Earthquakes 19. Nhaga R. Galatasaray 17. Balde M. (C) Brest 10. Franculino Trabzonspor 9. Beto Fiorentina
Substitutes
16. Abraham M. Simba 10. Allarakhia T. Boreham Wood 1. Amosi Y. (G) Singida Black Stars 22. Chilambo N. Simba 9. Hamis A. Ndanda 21. Kachwele C. Kryvbas 5. Lawi L. Azam 13. Mnata M. (G) Singida Black Stars 17. Msanga A. Kabylie 2. Msindo P. Azam 26. van den Bos M. FK Panevezys 23. Yahya M. Young Africans	4. Alfa Semedo Al Fayha 21. Ambri S. Omonia 29th May 18. Batista G. Moreirense 16. Camara M. Kayserispor 8. Camara P. Dundee Utd 3. Cassama A. AC Oulu 20. Djalo A. Ath Bilbao 12. Djalo M. (G) Balzan FC 25. Djassi D. Portimonense 24. Mendy E. Nancy 14. Rodrigues M. Botev Plovdiv 13. Tamble Rio Ave
Coaches
Gamondi M.	Te E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Kibu D. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Franculino ⚽, Beto (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', lano Imbene ↓, Cassama A. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Balde M. ⚽, Dalcio (A),
62', Mwalimu S. ↓, Allarakhia T. ↑,
62', Mkami H. ↓, Msanga A. ↑,
62', M'Mombwa C. ↓, Yahya M. ↑,
69', Balde M. ↓, Rodrigues M. ↑,
69', Franculino ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
70', Nhaga R. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
75', Mnoga H. ↓, Chilambo N. ↑,
75', Msuva S. ↓, Hamis A. ↑,
79', Vieira R. ↓, Alfa Semedo ↑,
90+1', Dalcio 🟨,

Preview

Tanzania is ranked FIFA: 112., and Guinea Bissau is ranked FIFA: 132..

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tanzania
FIFA Series
29.03.26	Macau - Tanzania	0:6 ✺
26.03.26	Tanzania - Liechtenstein	0:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
04.01.26	Morocco - Tanzania	1:0 ✺
30.12.25	Tanzania - Tunisia	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Uganda - Tanzania	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLTT
- Guinea Bissau
Friendly
31.03.26	Burkina Faso - Guinea Bissau	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Burkina Faso - Guinea Bissau	5:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
12.10.25	Egypt - Guinea Bissau	1:0 ✺
08.10.25	Ethiopia - Guinea Bissau	1:0 ✺
08.09.25	Guinea Bissau - Djibouti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLLLW

Tanzania - Guinea Bissau