Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 22

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Tapachula Soconusco		Montañeses

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.8	2.32	Watch
	2.38	3.52	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.79)	3.66 ↑ (3.42)	2.39 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tapachula Soconusco
36.9%

Draw
24.9%

Montañeses
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

26.6%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

25.5%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tapachula Soconusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Montañeses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapachula Soconusco than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tapachula Soconusco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañeses than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Tapachula Soconusco - Montañeses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).

Tapachula has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Montañeses is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tapachula won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tapachula Soconusco
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
28.02.26	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Tapachula Soconusco	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Héroes de Zaci	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Celaya - Tapachula Soconusco	3:2 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Racing de Veracruz - Tapachula Soconusco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL
- Montañeses FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
01.03.26	Montañeses - Deportiva Venados	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Neza - Montañeses	0:5 ✺
15.02.26	Montañeses - Dragones Toluca	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Cañoneros Marina - Montañeses	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Montañeses - Pioneros de Cancún	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
19.10.25	Montañeses - Tapachula Soconusco	2:0
16.10.24	Montañeses - Tapachula Soconusco	4:1

Tapachula Soconusco - Montañeses: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide