Match Info

Primera Premier - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Tapachula Soconusco		Chapulineros de Oaxaca

	1	X	2
	2.23	3.67	2.56
	2.24	3.73	2.69	Watch
	2.20	3.60	2.50
	2.34	3.95	2.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.04)	3.74 ↓ (3.98)	2.62 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tapachula Soconusco
40.6%

Draw
24.5%

Chapulineros de Oaxaca
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

24%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tapachula Soconusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tapachula Soconusco's form might have worsened.

Chapulineros de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chapulineros de Oaxaca's recent form is better than expected.

Tapachula Soconusco - Chapulineros de Oaxaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 2 - 2, ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 7th and 8th).

Tapachula is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Tapachula has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tapachula against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tapachula Soconusco
Mexican Primera Premier
19.09.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Tapachula Soconusco	5:1 ✺
12.09.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Inter Playa Del Carmen	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Celaya - Tapachula Soconusco	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Racing de Veracruz	0:4 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
18.04.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Tritones Vallarta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLT
- Chapulineros de Oaxaca
Mexican Primera Premier
25.09.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Pioneros de Cancún	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Celaya	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Racing de Veracruz - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	5:1 ✺
28.08.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Jaguares de Chiapas	0:1 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.04.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Pioneros de Cancún	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.02.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	1:0
20.09.25	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Tapachula Soconusco	1:3

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