The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tarancón 67.2%
Draw 22.1%
Huracán Balazote 10.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67%
21.9%
11.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.4%
20.6%
10.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tarancón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Huracán Balazote has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Balazote than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Tarancón - Huracán Balazote Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Fizesan M. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Morihisa K. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tarancón won 3.
Tarancón is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Huracán Balazote has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Tarancón is the clear favorite.
We predict that Tarancón will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tarancón won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Tarancón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).