Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Tarancón		Villarrubia

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.95
	1.9	3.02	4.1
	1.82	3.09	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 (1.87)	3.04 ↑ (2.99)	4.17 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarancón
48.4%

Draw
29.9%

Villarrubia
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

30.1%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

29.7%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarancón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for Villarrubia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Tarancón - Villarrubia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tarancón won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Tarancón is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tarancón won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tarancón won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tarancón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
16.11.25	Sonseca - Tarancón	1:7 ✺
09.11.25	Pedroñeras - Tarancón	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Tarancón - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	San Clemente - Tarancón	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Tarancón - Villacañas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTLT
- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
16.11.25	Villarrubia - Pedroñeras	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrubia	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Villarrubia - San Clemente	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Villarrubia - Illescas	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Manchego - Villarrubia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
19.04.25	Villarrubia - Tarancón	1:1
07.12.24	Tarancón - Villarrubia	1:1
07.04.24	Tarancón - Villarrubia	0:1
18.11.23	Villarrubia - Tarancón	1:1
25.02.23	Tarancón - Villarrubia	0:0
22.10.22	Villarrubia - Tarancón	2:1
09.04.22	Villarrubia - Tarancón	0:2

Tarancón - Villarrubia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide