Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Tarancón		Valdepeñas

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.2	8.75
	1.36	4.2	8
	1.37	4.1	8.9
	1.38	4.02	8.91	Watch
	1.4	4.46	7.62
	1.36	4.2	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.32)	4.2 ↓ (4.4)	8.36 ↓ (8.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarancón
67.2%

Draw
21.9%

Valdepeñas
11%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.8%

20.7%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

16.6%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarancón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Valdepeñas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tarancón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valdepeñas than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Tarancón - Valdepeñas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Valdepeñas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tarancón is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tarancón won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tarancón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
16.02.25	Albacete B - Tarancón	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Tarancón - Huracán Balazote	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Tarancón - Cazalegas	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Quintanar del Rey - Tarancón	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Manchego - Tarancón	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLW
- CD Valdepeñas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
02.03.25	Valdepeñas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Pedroñeras - Valdepeñas	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Valdepeñas - Noblejas	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Deportivo Toledo - Valdepeñas	3:0 ✺
02.02.25	Valdepeñas - Villacañas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
27.10.24	Valdepeñas - Tarancón	0:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tarancón
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.26	Tarancón - Levante	✺

Tarancón - Valdepeñas