Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 17

Date: 11 December 2023, Monday


	Taranto		Monopoli

	1	X	2
	1.8	2.95	4.4
	1.9	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.11	4.76
	1.9	3.11	4.77
	1.83	3.1	4.2
	1.8	3.14	4.4
	1.88	2.95	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	4.47 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taranto
49.4%

Draw
30%

Monopoli
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

29%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taranto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monopoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taranto than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monopoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Taranto - Monopoli Predictions

Users Predictions: Taranto will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 16. Luciani A. 5. Antonini Lui M. 4. de Santis I. F. 17. Panico C. 23. Calvano S. 7. Romano A. 3. Ferrara A. 77. Kanoute M. 10. Cianci P. 14. Bifulco A.	33. Perina P. (G) 17. Cristallo C. 6. Fornasier M. 13. Fazio P. 16. Ferrini M. 25. Vassallo F. (C) 27. Hamlili Z. 10. Borello G. 7. Starita E. 11. D'Agostino G. 99. Spalluto S.
Substitutes
70. Capone F. 22. Costantino F. (G) 15. Enrici P. 99. Fabbro M. 28. Fiorani M. 18. Kondaj E. 1. Loliva A. (G) 72. Mastromonaco G. 96. Orlando F. 27. Papaserio G. 11. Samele L. 29. Zonta L.	1. Alloj E. (G) 31. Botis N. (G) 5. Cargnelutti R. 8. De Paoli A. 24. De Santis M. 3. Dibenedetto V. 78. Iaccarino G. 30. Mazzotta M. 21. Piarulli S. 9. Santaniello E. 23. Simone G. 2. Sorgente L. M. 14. Viteritti O.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Taranto won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Taranto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Taranto will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Taranto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Taranto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taranto FC
Italian Serie C Group C
04.12.23	Potenza - Taranto	1:2 ✺
27.11.23	Taranto - Casertana	0:1 ✺
18.11.23	Taranto - Città di Brindisi	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Sorrento - Taranto	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Taranto - Juve Stabia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLL
- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
04.12.23	Monopoli - Giugliano	1:3 ✺
26.11.23	Sorrento - Monopoli	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Monopoli - Benevento	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Turris - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
06.11.23	Monopoli - Audace Cerignola	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
23.12.22	Taranto - Monopoli	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.22	Taranto - Monopoli	1:2
Italian Serie C Group C
04.09.22	Monopoli - Taranto	4:1
06.04.22	Taranto - Monopoli	2:0
14.11.21	Monopoli - Taranto	2:0
15.04.17	Taranto - Monopoli	0:1
03.12.16	Monopoli - Taranto	1:0

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