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Current Win Probability
Sorrento 31.2%
Draw 31.7%
Monopoli 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
29.7%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
29.2%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+2%)
Sorrento - Monopoli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Harrasser S. (G) 23. Cangianiello S. 46. Colombini L. 3. Crecco L. 8. Cuccurullo M. 26. Di Somma V. 7. D'Ursi E. 16. Franco D. 2. Piras M. 90. Sabbatani A. 15. Solcia D.
22. Piana E. (G) 8. Battocchio C. 19. Calcagni R. 11. Fall M. 23. Falzerano M. 99. Imputato A. 6. Miceli M. 31. Oyewale S. 34. Ronco D. 17. Tirelli M. 77. Viteritti O.
Substitutes
10. Bolsius D. 33. Carillo L. 1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 11. Esposito M. 21. Matera A. 32. Paglino S. 9. Plescia V. 4. Potenza A. 17. Riccardi P. 19. Russo D. 29. Santini C. 5. Shaw K. 18. Tonni M. 30. Vilardi M.
1. Albertazzi M. (G) 5. Angileri A. 4. Bizzotto N. 37. Bordo L. 20. Cascella R. 15. Greco J. 72. Lattanzi L. 35. Piccinini S. 33. Rossi D. 21. Scipioni E. 85. Spano R. 16. Valenti B. 10. Volpe G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Miceli M. 🟨,
30', Piras M. ↓, Paglino S. ↑,
34', Imputato A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Ronco D. 🟨,
61', Calcagni R. ↓, Greco J. ↑,
69', Franco D. ↓, Matera A. ↑,
69', Sabbatani A. ↓, Plescia V. ↑,
75', Falzerano M. ↓, Scipioni E. ↑,
75', Ronco D. ↓, Scipioni E. ↑,
76', Paglino S. 🟨,
89', Paglino S. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90', Cuccurullo M. ↓, Potenza A. ↑,
90+1', Oyewale S. ↓, Rossi D. ↑,
90+2', Matera A. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Monopoli will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sorrento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).