Match Info

First League - Round 7

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Taraz		Arys

	1	X	2
	1.16	5.9	12.5
	1.19	5.47	14.14	Watch
	1.14	6	14.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.19)	5.79 ↑ (5.47)	13.71 ↓ (14.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taraz
77.8%

Draw
15.6%

Arys
6.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.8%

16.7%

6.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taraz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Arys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Taraz - Arys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Mansurov B. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 1 - 0, Lesbek D. ⚽, Baytana B. (A),
71', 1 - 1, Usipkhanov R. ⚽,
74', 2 - 1, Toybekov E. ⚽, Kozhamberdy Z. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Taraz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arys is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Taraz is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taraz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Taraz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Taraz	23	8	6	9	30:32	-2	30
11	Arys	23	7	3	13	29:43	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Taraz
Kazakh First League
14.05.26	Turan Turkistan - Taraz	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Taraz - Jaiyq	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Taraz	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Taraz - Yelimay 2	3:0 ✺
17.04.26	Aktobe 2 - Taraz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWL
- FC Arys
Kazakh First League
15.05.26	Arys - Khan Tengri	0:1 ✺
07.05.26	Tobol 2 - Arys	4:3 ✺
30.04.26	Arys - Astana 2	3:1 ✺
23.04.26	Arys - Shakhter Karagandy	0:6 ✺
16.04.26	Turan Turkistan - Arys	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
08.08.24	Taraz - Arys	3:0
31.05.24	Arys - Taraz	1:2
22.09.23	Taraz - Arys	2:1
02.06.23	Arys - Taraz	1:3
Kazakh Cup
17.03.23	Taraz - Arys	0:1

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