Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Tarazona		Teruel

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.63	3.8
	2.2	2.6	3.5
	2.48	2.68	3.15
	2.8	2.84	3.02
	2.57	2.57	3.42	Watch
	2.4	2.5	3.25
	2.51	2.54	3.26
	2.5	2.42	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.58)	2.6 ↓ (2.88)	3.34 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
37.4%

Draw
35.2%

Teruel
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

31.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

31.7%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Teruel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Teruel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Teruel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tarazona - Teruel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Josele (G) 14. Borge A. 5. Traore B. 4. Trilles M. (C) 3. Martinez Chechu 2. Lopez A. 8. Ramon A. 6. Carrasco O. 22. Vaquero 10. Aguero 9. Cubillas D.	1. Palop A. (G) 4. Van Rijn N. 14. Relu 18. del Moral A. (C) 15. Rodriguez A. 5. Goyo Medina 16. Albisua H. 8. Blesa Alex 23. Royo M. 7. Moreno S. 11. Alvaro Merencio
Substitutes
15. Alonso I. 13. Amigo A. (G) 19. Armero S. 27. Fita A. 17. Jimenez A. 20. Martinez J. 23. Rodriguez D. 7. Soto D.	9. Arguigue Safsati A. 3. Fondarella D. 22. Joseda 29. Marti A. 21. Padilla J. 6. Redon H. 13. Ruben Galvez (G) 10. Sutherland T. 17. Traore M.

Key Events of the Match

(3 - 2)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tarazona won 0.

Tarazona has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Teruel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tarazona won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tarazona won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Tarazona - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.56%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.12.25	Eldense - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
08.12.25	Tarazona - CE Europa	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alcorcón - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Tarazona - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLW
- CD Teruel
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.12.25	Teruel - Algeciras	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Villarreal B - Teruel	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Atlético Madrid B - Teruel	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Teruel - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Real Murcia - Teruel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.02.24	Teruel - Tarazona	0:0
12.11.23	Tarazona - Teruel	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
13.02.22	Teruel - Tarazona	1:1
26.09.21	Tarazona - Teruel	1:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
29.12.19	Tarazona - Teruel	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
03.09.17	Teruel - Tarazona	0:2

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