Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Eldense		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	1.62	3	6.25
	1.65	3.2	5.9
	1.68	3.25	6.34
	1.71	3.07	6.34	Watch
	1.65	3	5.75
	1.67	3.08	5.67
	1.57	3.25	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.91)	3.12 ↑ (2.92)	6.04 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
55.5%

Draw
29.3%

Tarazona
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

31.8%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

31.7%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eldense's performance.

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eldense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Eldense - Tarazona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vila R. (G) 3. Smand F. 2. Serradell A. G. 21. Ruiz D. 17. Clemente J. (C) 16. Quintanilla R. 12. Molina M. 8. Bustillo M. 10. Fidel 11. Bellari H. 9. Dioni	1. Josele (G) 5. Traore B. 3. Martinez Chechu 2. Lopez A. 14. Borge A. 15. Alonso I. 6. Carrasco O. 22. Vaquero 23. Rodriguez D. 11. Gomez J. 10. Aguero
Substitutes
15. Billups B. 6. Calvo B. 4. Dumic D. 5. Gaixas A. 19. Ibarrondo A. 18. Macho G. 22. Nunez R. 13. Valencia P. (G)	13. Amigo A. (G) 19. Armero S. 27. Fita A. 20. Martinez J. 8. Ramon A. 7. Soto D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Dioni (Penalty Awarded),
40', Martinez Chechu 🟨,
42', Bustillo M. 🟨,
45+3', Lopez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bustillo M. ↓, Calvo B. ↑,
50', Quintanilla R. 🟨,
55', Gomez J. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
65', Quintanilla R. ↓, Macho G. ↑,
74', Rodriguez D. ↓, Armero S. ↑,
76', Alonso I. 🟨,
83', Aguero ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
83', Alonso I. ↓, Cubillas D. ↑,
83', Lopez A. ↓, Fita A. ↑,
86', Borge A. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', Bellari H. ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
90+2', Fidel ↓, Ibarrondo A. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Eldense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Eldense is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.12.25	Alcorcón - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Eldense - Almería	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.11.25	Eldense - Antequera	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Cartagena - Eldense	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Eldense - Hércules	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWLTW
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.12.25	Tarazona - CE Europa	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alcorcón - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Tarazona - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Sabadell - Tarazona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLLWT

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