Match Info

ESTONIA: Esiliiga B - Round 25

Date: 26 August 2024, Monday


	Tartu Kalev		Nõmme Kalju U21

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.75	1.4
	7.32	6.97	1.12
	10.1	6.95	1.17
	5.25	4.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.98 ↑ (2.92)	5.86 ↑ (4)	1.27 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tartu Kalev
13%

Draw
15.5%

Nõmme Kalju U21
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

22.7%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

21.9%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tartu Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tartu Kalev's form might have worsened.

Nõmme Kalju U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nõmme Kalju U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Kalev than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tartu Kalev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nõmme Kalju U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tartu Kalev - Nõmme Kalju U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: Nõmme Kalju U21 will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Varusk A. (Pen),
5', 2 - 0, Kohv K. ⚽,
43', Tischler R. 🟥,
45+2', 3 - 0, Varusk A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 5)
58', 3 - 1, Henriques Da Silva Carvalho G. ⚽,
67', 3 - 2, Orlov M. ⚽,
74', 3 - 3, Subbotin I. ⚽,
78', 3 - 4, Ivanov N. ⚽,
83', 3 - 5, Henriques Da Silva Carvalho G. ⚽,
87', Jaaniste E. 🟥,

Preview

Recent matches Tartu Kalev is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nõmme Kalju U21 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tartu Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga B
21.08.24	Narva Trans U21 - Tartu Kalev	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna JK Legion	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tartu Kalev	1:1 ✺
05.08.24	Tartu Kalev - Kuressaare U21	1:4 ✺
27.07.24	Tartu Kalev - Pärnu Linnameeskond	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTLW
- Nõmme Kalju U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
22.08.24	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tammeka U21	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	Viljandi Tulevik - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:1 ✺
04.08.24	Narva Trans U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	1:2 ✺
28.07.24	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWWW

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