Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 16

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday


	Narva Trans U21		Tartu Kalev

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.60	4.33
	1.49	4.65	4.45
	1.48	4.98	4.62
	1.46	5.2	4.65	Watch
	1.44	4.5	4.6
	1.53	5.15	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.74)	4.85 ↑ (4.35)	4.5 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Narva Trans U21
61.2%

Draw
18.7%

Tartu Kalev
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

21.1%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

20.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Narva Trans U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Narva Trans U21's performance.

Tartu Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tartu Kalev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans U21 than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Narva Trans U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Kalev than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tartu Kalev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Narva Trans U21 - Tartu Kalev Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Narva U21 will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Solodov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, ⚽,
68', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva U21 won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tartu Kalev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Narva U21 is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Narva U21 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Narva U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Narva U21	30	20	3	7	71:36	35	63
6	Tartu Kalev	30	15	2	13	72:58	14	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Narva Trans U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
31.05.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tabasalu	5:0 ✺
28.05.26	Narva Trans U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Tammeka U21 - Narva Trans U21	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Narva Trans U21	4:0 ✺
10.05.26	Narva Trans U21 - Levadia U19	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WTLLT
- Tartu Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga B
13.06.26	Tartu Kalev - Viljandi Tulevik	3:4 ✺
01.06.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tartu Kalev	7:2 ✺
29.05.26	Tartu Kalev - Levadia U19	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Tartu Kalev	0:6 ✺
16.05.26	Tartu Kalev - Tammeka U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
14.03.26	Tartu Kalev - Narva Trans U21	3:0
09.11.25	Narva Trans U21 - Tartu Kalev	6:1
13.09.25	Tartu Kalev - Narva Trans U21	1:1
29.05.25	Tartu Kalev - Narva Trans U21	2:3
06.04.25	Narva Trans U21 - Tartu Kalev	0:1
19.10.24	Tartu Kalev - Narva Trans U21	1:1
21.08.24	Narva Trans U21 - Tartu Kalev	2:1

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