Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Tau Altopascio		Sasso Marconi

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.40	3.80
	1.75	3.35	4.00
	1.77	3.57	4.05	Watch
	1.74	3.35	3.95
	1.74	3.52	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.77)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	3.96 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tau Altopascio
51.3%

Draw
26.1%

Sasso Marconi
22.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.1%

26.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

26%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tau Altopascio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Sasso Marconi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tau Altopascio than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (-1%)

Tau Altopascio - Sasso Marconi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+6', 1 - 0, Chiti L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 6th and 15th in the Serie D - Group E (Play Out: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Tau carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Tau has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tau against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tau	9	5	1	3	13:15	-2	16
15	Sasso Marconi	9	2	2	5	11:15	-4	8

Last Results with these Odds

Tau Altopascio - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 51.14%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tau Altopascio
Italian Serie D - Group E
18.10.26	San Donato Tavarnelle - Tau Altopascio	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Tau Altopascio - Grassina	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Ghiviborgo - Tau Altopascio	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Tau Altopascio - Rondinella Marzocco	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Ternana - Tau Altopascio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWWL
- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group E
18.10.26	Sasso Marconi - Lucchese	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Mezzolara - Sasso Marconi	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Sasso Marconi - Cittadella Vis Modena	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.10.26	Sasso Marconi - Scandicci	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Sasso Marconi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
13.04.25	Sasso Marconi - Tau Altopascio	2:2
01.12.24	Tau Altopascio - Sasso Marconi	2:1

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