The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sasso Marconi 24.6%
Draw 26.3%
Lucchese 49.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
19.7%
25%
55.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.8%
23.9%
58%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sasso Marconi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucchese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sasso Marconi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucchese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sasso Marconi - Lucchese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, ⚽,
65', 2 - 0, ⚽,
74', 🟥,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 15th in the Serie D - Group E (Play Out: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group E Playoffs).
Sasso Marconi is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lucchese is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Lucchese for this game.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.