Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 7

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Taubaté		Ituano

	1	X	2
	2.82	3	2.35
	3.05	3.15	2.47
	2.97	2.88	2.44	Watch
	2.88	2.9	2.4
	2.98	2.84	2.42
	3.1	2.75	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.63)	2.92 ↓ (3.3)	2.42 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taubaté
30.8%

Draw
31.3%

Ituano
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

27.7%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

27.1%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taubaté has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Taubaté - Ituano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Matheus Mancini ⚽,
78', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).

Recent form of Taubaté has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ituano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Taubaté may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Taubaté won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Ituano - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.49%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Taubaté
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
28.01.26	Linense - Taubaté	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Taubaté - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	CA Juventus - Taubaté	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Internacional de Limeira - Taubaté	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Taubaté - Osasco Sporting	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLTT
- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
28.01.26	CA Juventus - Ituano	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Ituano - São Bento	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Linense - Ituano	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Ituano - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Ituano - Votuporanguense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
26.02.25	Ituano - Taubaté	1:0

Taubaté - Ituano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide