Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 14

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Taubaté		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.1
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.25	3.01	2.25
	3.22	3.22	2.2	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.36)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	2.14 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taubaté
28%

Draw
29.3%

Grêmio Novorizontino
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

29.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

28.7%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taubaté has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Taubaté - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Taubaté is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Novorizontino is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Novorizontino will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Taubaté
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.03.23	São Caetano - Taubaté	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Osasco Sporting - Taubaté	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Taubaté - Linense	2:0 ✺
15.02.23	Velo Clube - Taubaté	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Taubaté - CA Juventus	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWLL
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.03.23	Velo Clube - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - EC Noroeste	2:2 ✺
18.02.23	Osasco Sporting - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
15.02.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Rio Claro	4:1 ✺
11.02.23	EC Primavera - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLWW

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