Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 13

Date: 1 March 2023, Wednesday


	Velo Clube		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.3
	2.65	3.15	2.4
	3.05	3.3	2.2
	2.75	3	2.4
	2.84	3.34	2.36	Watch
	2.85	3.15	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.22)	3.19 ↓ (3.4)	2.33 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velo Clube
32.2%

Draw
28.6%

Grêmio Novorizontino
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.6%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.1%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velo Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Velo Clube's form might have worsened.

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio Novorizontino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Velo Clube, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Velo Clube - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Velo Clube is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Novorizontino is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Velo Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
25.02.23	Comercial SP - Velo Clube	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Velo Clube - CA Juventus	1:0 ✺
15.02.23	Velo Clube - Taubaté	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Rio Claro - Velo Clube	2:2 ✺
08.02.23	São Caetano - Velo Clube	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWTL
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
25.02.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - EC Noroeste	2:2 ✺
18.02.23	Osasco Sporting - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
15.02.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Rio Claro	4:1 ✺
11.02.23	EC Primavera - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
08.02.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Linense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWWW

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